A friend who is not nearly as intuitive as you are will insist they are on to some type of conspiracy theory, but you’re not so sure. Before you burst their bubble, find out how much research they’ve done to support their theory. If they are so positive of their guesstimate that they are willing to bet money on it, that’s when you step in to be the voice of reason. Help them see things more reasonably. But if you fail to change their mind, don’t feel guilty about it.